Condorcet’s Jury Theorem and Democracy

A fresco by Cesare Maccari (1840-1919 CE) depicting Roman senator Cicero (106-43 BCE) denouncing the conspirator Catiline in the Roman senate.

Author: Robert Weston Siscoe Category: Social and Political Philosophy Word Count: 999 Suppose that a majority of jurors decide that a defendant is guilty (or not), and we want to know the likelihood that they reached the correct verdict. The French philosopher Marquis de Condorcet (1743-1794) showed that we can get a mathematically precise answer, … Continue reading Condorcet’s Jury Theorem and Democracy